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June 25th 2009

Issue 33

 

Dear ValueName (ValueKey)

 

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Re-organise to survive?

A warning was sounded to the satellite industry this week as Sea Launch filed Chapter 11 and although they intend to operate as normal after the filing and to go through a process of re-organisation, this is a definite sign that this financial crisis is still threatening our industry.

 

At the CommunicAsia and CASBAA events in Singapore last week there was almost a feeling of cosiness in the air. People were using words such as resilient and strong to describe the satellite sector and there was a sense of determination that the credit crisis would not affect the industry to any great extent. Of course, there was a lot of talk about being cautious, but the general feeling was one of optimism. Space Systems Loral has very recently signed orders for four satellites – two for Intelsat, one for HNS and one for ABS. This means that satellite services are still in huge demand and therefore so is the need for capacity. Satellite manufacturers are doing great business.

 

But what of the launch sector? The news from Sea Launch is far from encouraging. Of course this is good news for Arianespace and ILS, as their market share could potentially increase, but it is a very negative for the launch services sector and the operators that rely on it, as it means less competition. Competition is good. It keeps companies on their toes and helps to drive quality up and prices down. There have always been debates about the cost of satellite launches. Operators have often complained of inflated prices and competition within the industry can help to keep this issue in check. Sea Launch have taken a very innovative approach to their launch service, using a converted oil platform to launch their vehicles that provides a direct route to orbit. They have tried to keep costs for their clients down, and recovered admirably from the launch failure that happened in 2007. However, this event could have contributed to the situation the company now finds itself in.

So what has gone wrong for Sea Launch? The filing stated that its liabilities are in excess of $2 billion and the decision to go Chapter 11 was probably prompted by the fact that no deal was reached with Hughes that won a $52 million arbitration award after they cancelled a launch contract with Sea Launch. In addition, the launch service provider has experienced supply chain problems that has meant fewer launches have been able to take place. Whatever the combination of events, it is a sad day when any company is forced to take this action.

 

Months after the 2007 launch failure I interviewed the CEO of Sea Launch at the time, and I was struck by the way the company had pulled together to establish what had gone wrong, how it could be put right and when they could get back to operations. There was no defeatist attitude and Sea Launch comprises of a dedicated bunch of hardworking people. This news has unfortunately overshadowed this week’s successful launch of the MEASAT-3a satellite.

 

However, the re-organisation of the company could be the answer to their problems, and with 8 Sea Launches and 2 Land Launches in their backlog, let’s hope that they can find a way out of their current troubles to fulfil them.


 

Satellite sector central to Asian communications
The announcement of two Asia Pacific DTH platforms (Echostar/AsiaSat for Taiwan and VTV/Canal+ for Vietnam ), along with a new Asian procurement and launch programme (ABS-2 from Space Systems/Loral & Arianespace), plus an Arianespace launch contract for Singapore/Taiwan’s ST-2 satellite, has reinforced the essential nature of satellites for the Asian communications industry...

 

Sea Launch files Chapter 11 to address financial challenges
Sea Launch Company L.L.C. and Sea Launch Limited Partnership and subsidiaries has filed voluntary petitions to reorganize under Chapter 11 of the United States Bankruptcy Code in the United States Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware in Wilmington...

 

Hybrid set-top boxes help operators jump-start IPTV networks
Hybrid IPTV set-top boxes (STBs) are helping IPTV Operators “jump-start” early service deployment or extend the reach of their existing video IP networks. By merging existing digital video broadcast programming with IPTV services, Operators are finding they can significantly slash CapEx and lead-time costs from typical IPTV deployment costs. In 2008, there were already 14.4 million installed hybrid STB units worldwide, with estimated growth to 22.3 million in 2012...

 

China Crescent Enterprises looks to increase percentage of $40 million in annual revenue with introduction of SNG vehicles
China Crescent Enterprises continues to work toward expanding the Company's $40 million in profitable revenue through growing its percentage of revenue from sales outside of China. The Company is concentrating on foreign sales as part of a strategy to increase operating margins. Today, the majority of China Crescent's sales are derived from the sale of products and services within China. China Crescent's existing resources within China can potentially support higher gross margin sales outside of China...


 

 


 

How much HTS capacity is enough

 

With Hughes' recent announcement of the ordering of its new high throughput satellite (HTS), the satellite industry is once more seeing a company putting real and substantial money behind the burgeoning single site satellite broadband Internet access market for consumers and businesses. A year and a half have passed since ViaSat and Eutelsat jointly announced their HTS plans, ViaSat-1 and Ka-Sat respectively, and more than a few people were beginning to wonder when, or even if, anyone else in the industry had enough confidence to step up to the plate and place another big bet on the future of satellite delivered broadband access services in North America, or for that matter, anywhere else in the world.

Combined, NSR estimates that ViaSat-1 and the Hughes HTS will bring about 225 Gbps of new capacity to the North American market by 2012. This is at least seven times more than the combined capacity of all the existing first generation high throughput satellites and payloads such as WildBlue-1, Spaceway-3, and Anik-F2 for probably well less than half the capital investment.

But now another question is being asked in the industry, just how much capacity is enough? Or even more worryingly, is too much capacity going up in the North American market for single site satellite broadband services. It is impossible to answer these questions today, but using subscriber forecast data from NSR's recently released "Broadband Satellite Markets 8th Edition" study, some indications can be given of what could transpire in the coming years.

 

Read the full report

 



 


 

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